Winner: Denise Gomes
Confidence Score: 63Denise Gomes is the more dynamic and dangerous finisher in this matchup, with 7 of her 11 wins coming by knockout and a significant striking accuracy of 51%. She is 11 years younger than Tecia Pennington, which is a historically important factor in women's strawweight, as fighters over 35 have a notably lower win percentage against younger, rising contenders. Gomes also holds a reach advantage (arm and leg), and her recent form is strong, including KO wins and a victory over Karolina Kowalkiewicz, a common opponent. Pennington is extremely durable, defensively sound (62% significant strike defense), and experienced, but she lacks finishing threat (only 1 KO, 1 submission in her career) and her offensive output has declined with age. Historically, fighters with Gomes' youth, power, and recent momentum have a higher win rate over aging, technical veterans. Expect Gomes to pressure forward, land the heavier shots, and possibly outwork Pennington over three rounds.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bonfim vs Brown can be found on the Bonfim vs Brown event page.
