Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry - AI generated fight pick

Belal Muhammad is the most proven and consistent elite welterweight in this matchup. He has a significant edge in experience at the highest level, with a 24-4 record and a long unbeaten streak against top contenders. Stylistically, his wrestling and relentless pace set him apart: he boasts a 90% takedown defense and 39% takedown accuracy, which is key against a striker like Garry. Muhammad's significant strike defense (56%) is also superior to Garry's (52%), and he absorbs less damage over long fights. While Garry is younger, taller, and has a slight reach advantage, he has struggled when pressured by strong wrestlers (as seen in his loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov) and has not faced the same caliber of grapplers as Muhammad. Historically, fighters with Muhammad's age, durability, and wrestling-centric approach have outperformed younger, rangier strikers in five-round main events. While Garry's striking is more accurate (54% vs Muhammad's 43%), Muhammad's cardio, pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns and clinch work should allow him to dictate the pace and win rounds. The main concern is Muhammad's age (36 vs Garry's 27), but his recent form and lack of significant decline suggest he remains at his peak. Overall, the matchup favors Muhammad's grinding style and championship experience.