Winner: Aleksandre Topuria
Confidence Score: 72Aleksandre Topuria has a more well-rounded skill set for the bantamweight division, showing strong boxing with a 52% significant strike accuracy and excellent defensive metrics (70% strike defense, 100% takedown defense). He also has a balanced finishing ability with wins by both knockout and submission, and his average fight time (15:00) suggests he can go the distance if needed. Bekzat Almakhan, while dangerous with knockout power and a high finish rate, has glaring defensive weaknesses: only 32% significant strike defense and 0% takedown defense, making him vulnerable against a technical striker with solid takedown defense. Historically, fighters with Topuria's profile (good defense, balanced finishing, and boxing base) have a strong win rate against aggressive but defensively porous karate stylists. Unless Almakhan lands early, Topuria's superior defense and ability to control the fight's pace should secure him the victory.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Tsarukyan vs Hooker can be found on the Tsarukyan vs Hooker event page.
