Winner: Alex Perez
Confidence Score: 62Alex Perez has demonstrated a higher level of competition and proven finishing ability at the UFC level, with a strong takedown defense (77%) and more first-round finishes (10) than his opponent. He is a more experienced UFC fighter, with a lower average fight time (6:47), indicating he can capitalize on quick finishes, which is key against a grappler like Asu Almabayev. Perez's striking defense (59%) is also notably better than Almabayev's (52%), and his takedown defense is significantly superior to Almabayev's 50%, making him less likely to be controlled or submitted. Almabayev's recent loss by KO/TKO to Manel Kape raises concerns about his durability at the top level. Historically, fighters with Perez's UFC tenure, wrestling base, and defensive metrics have outperformed newer grapplers making their climb. While Almabayev is dangerous with submissions and has a slightly higher striking accuracy, Perez's experience, defensive metrics, and finishing ability give him the edge in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Tsarukyan vs Hooker can be found on the Tsarukyan vs Hooker event page.
