Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira - AI generated fight pick

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev is the pick due to several key factors. First, he is only 24 years old, giving him a significant youth and potential edge over the 35-year-old Rafael Cerqueira, who is coming off three straight losses (two by first-round KO/TKO and one by decision). Yakhyaev's UFC debut showed off an extremely high significant strike accuracy (89%) and strong defense (67% strike defense, 100% takedown defense), indicating sharpness and athleticism. While he has just one fight, the historic data shows that younger fighters making their debut against older, skidding opponents with poor recent defense (Cerqueira's 37% strike defense and 40% takedown defense are both well below divisional averages) win at a high rate. Cerqueira is a fast starter but is vulnerable to being finished early, especially by athletic, defensively sound opponents. While Yakhyaev is still unproven at a high level, the combination of his physical attributes, defensive stats, and Cerqueira's declining durability and form make him the likely winner.