Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi - AI generated fight pick

Tagir Ulanbekov is likely to win due to a combination of stylistic and physical advantages. He has a significant reach advantage (4 inches in arm reach and 2 inches in leg reach), which is important in the flyweight division. Ulanbekov's wrestling-based style and high submission rate (7 submission wins) match up well against Horiguchi, who has historically struggled against strong grapplers and has no submission wins himself. Ulanbekov's takedown defense (62%) is slightly better than Horiguchi's (55%), and his takedown accuracy is comparable. While Horiguchi has a higher striking defense (62%), Ulanbekov's 49% striking accuracy and ability to control opponents on the ground are key. Historically, Russian wrestlers with similar reach and age at flyweight have a strong win rate against striking-based or less grappling-oriented Japanese fighters. Ulanbekov's recent form and higher finishing ability (10 finishes in 17 wins) further support his edge, though Horiguchi's experience and durability make this a competitive fight.