Winner: Manel Kape
Confidence Score: 63Manel Kape has a clear edge in striking, with a significant strike accuracy of 56% and defense of 58%, both considerably higher than Brandon Royval's 41% accuracy and 43% defense. Kape's 81% takedown defense is a strong counter to Royval's grappling and high takedown accuracy, making it difficult for Royval to implement his submission-heavy game (9 submission wins). Kape's recent form is strong, with KO/TKO wins over Almabayev and Silva, and his only recent loss coming via decision to a high-level wrestler (Mokaev). Royval, while dynamic and dangerous with submissions, is hittable and absorbs significant damage, which is a concern against a power puncher like Kape (13 KO wins). Historically, fighters with Kape's striking stats, youth (2 years younger), and high takedown defense have had a winning edge in similar flyweight matchups. While Royval's unpredictability and submission threat keep this close, the stylistic and statistical data favor Kape.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
