Winner: Ludovit Klein
Confidence Score: 64Ludovit Klein holds notable advantages in this lightweight matchup. He possesses a significant reach advantage (6.5 inches in arm reach and 4.5 inches in leg reach), which should help him control the distance against Mateusz Rebecki. Klein's striking metrics are superior, with a higher significant strike accuracy (53% vs 47%) and a comparable defense. He also boasts a much better takedown defense (76% vs 50%), which is critical since Rebecki's path to victory often depends on his grappling. Klein has proven himself durable and difficult to hold down, and historically, fighters with strong takedown defense and reach advantages tend to outperform grappling specialists lacking elite wrestling. While Rebecki is dangerous early and has finishing ability, Klein's more well-rounded skill set, physical advantages, and proven performance against similar archetypes make him the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Aspinall vs Gane can be found on the Aspinall vs Gane event page.