Winner: Timmy Cuamba
Confidence Score: 73Timmy Cuamba holds significant advantages in this matchup. He is younger (26 vs 30), has a longer arm reach (71" vs 69") and leg reach (40" vs 37"), and is a natural striker, which matches up well against ChangHo Lee's more general MMA style. Cuamba's striking defense is much better (59% vs 40%), and his takedown defense (80%) is a major edge over Lee, who has struggled to defend takedowns (38%). While Lee has a higher significant strike accuracy (67%), his defense is porous and his takedown defense has been weak, which historically leads to losses in the UFC's bantamweight division when facing athletic, defensively sound strikers like Cuamba. Additionally, Cuamba's longer average fight time and experience in longer bouts suggest he can manage the pace and distance well. Overall, the combination of physical advantages, defensive prowess, and stylistic matchup strongly favor Cuamba.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Timmy Cuamba vs ChangHo Lee can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.
