Winner: Jack Hermansson
Confidence Score: 72Jack Hermansson holds significant advantages in experience, durability, and well-roundedness. He has a much higher level of UFC experience, with 33 fights and a history of facing top competition, compared to Myktybek Orolbai's 4 UFC bouts. Hermansson's striking defense (57% vs 29%) and takedown defense (81% vs 0%) are notably superior, suggesting he can neutralize Orolbai's early aggression and grappling. Hermansson also has a substantial edge in reach and size, and his average fight time is much longer, indicating better cardio and resilience in deeper rounds. While Orolbai is a dangerous, fast starter with finishing ability, his low striking defense and lack of wrestling offense against high-level opposition are concerning against a veteran like Hermansson, who has proven he can win by both knockout and submission. Historically, fighters with Hermansson's age and experience, when facing younger, less proven finishers with low defensive stats, win the majority of such matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Tsarukyan vs Hooker can be found on the Tsarukyan vs Hooker event page.
