Winner: Themba Gorimbo
Confidence Score: 62Themba Gorimbo has a notable edge in key areas for this matchup. He is younger (34 vs 37), has a significant reach advantage (77" arm reach vs 74"), and demonstrates superior striking and grappling stats: his significant strike accuracy (61%) and defense (57%) are much higher than Wells' (43% accuracy, 49% defense). Gorimbo also boasts a higher takedown accuracy (65% vs 44%) and better takedown defense (82% vs 80%). Recent form favors Gorimbo, who has won 4 of his last 5, including a KO win and two unanimous decisions, while Wells is coming off a first-round submission loss. Historically, fighters with Gorimbo's statistical and physical advantages in the welterweight division win a majority of similar matchups, especially when they are the younger, longer, and more accurate striker. Wells is dangerous, but Gorimbo's edge in athleticism and efficiency makes him the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jeremiah Wells vs Themba Gorimbo can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.