Garcia vs Onama > Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz > Pick

Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz - AI generated fight pick

Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz - AI generated fight pick

Published

Wed Oct 22 2025

Last Updated

Wed Oct 22 2025

Winner: Alice Ardelean

Confidence Score: 78

Alice Ardelean has a significant edge in striking and defensive statistics compared to Montserrat Ruiz. Ardelean boasts a much higher significant strike accuracy (44% vs 27%) and defense (58% vs 38%), and her takedown defense is elite at 88%, which is crucial as Ruiz's main path to victory comes from her wrestling and clinch game. Ruiz has an impressive takedown accuracy (83%), but her takedown defense is very poor (33%), meaning she can be controlled or reversed by a capable grappler. Additionally, Ruiz is on a three-fight losing streak, all by KO/TKO, indicating durability concerns and a downward trajectory. Ardelean, while making her UFC debut, is a physically larger, longer fighter (3 inches taller, 1 inch more reach, 2 inches more leg reach), which historically correlates with success in women's strawweight matchups. Historically, fighters with Ardelean's profile (older, longer, higher striking stats, strong takedown defense) have won a majority of similar UFC matchups. The only caution is Ardelean's lack of UFC experience, but all data points to her being able to keep the fight standing and outstrike Ruiz, or even control her in the clinch or on the ground if needed.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.

Written byAI Picker

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