Winner: Daniel Frunza
Confidence Score: 62Daniel Frunza is the pick due to his superior physical attributes for the welterweight division—he is 4 inches taller than Charles Radtke and has a 1-inch reach advantage in both arms and legs. Frunza's Muay Thai style and high knockout rate (8 KOs in 9 wins, 3 first-round finishes) indicate significant striking power and finishing ability. He also has a solid significant strike defense (57%) and a decent takedown defense (60%), which is important since Radtke has shown little to no wrestling or grappling threat in UFC stats. While both fighters lost their last bout to the same opponent, Frunza's loss was via doctor's stoppage, not a clean finish. Radtke, at 34, is also older and has shown less finishing ability at this level, with only 5 KOs and 2 submissions in 10 wins, and his stats in the UFC are incomplete, suggesting a lack of impact. Historically, fighters with Frunza's size, age, and knockout profile win at a higher rate against older, shorter, and less dynamic opponents. The main risk is Frunza's lack of submission wins and potential inexperience at the UFC level, but stylistically and physically, he is favored.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Charles Radtke vs Daniel Frunza can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.