Winner: Ketlen Vieira
Confidence Score: 65Ketlen Vieira has a slight edge in this matchup due to her superior grappling base, higher level of competition, and statistical strengths in key defensive areas. Vieira boasts a 90% takedown defense, which should neutralize Norma Dumont's 57% takedown accuracy. Although Dumont has a better significant strike accuracy (50% vs 41%), Vieira's reach and marginal size advantage (1-inch reach and leg reach edge) help her in clinch and distance exchanges. Vieira's recent performances show she is consistently competitive against top-tier opponents, and her experience in longer UFC bouts gives her a slight advantage in a likely decision-heavy fight. Historical trends in women's bantamweight show that fighters with elite takedown defense and judo backgrounds have a higher win rate when facing volume strikers with less finishing ability. While Dumont is on a strong win streak and is very defensively sound, Vieira's ability to dictate where the fight takes place and her durability make her the more reliable pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.
