Winner: Henry Cejudo
Confidence Score: 62Henry Cejudo's elite wrestling background, championship experience, and defensive metrics give him a key advantage in this matchup. Despite being 38, he has a 60% significant strike defense and 76% takedown defense, both higher than Talbott's. Historically, fighters with Cejudo's wrestling pedigree and defensive stats have done well against longer, younger strikers in the bantamweight division, especially when the younger fighter is still developing against top-tier competition. Talbott has a reach and youth advantage, but his recent losses to well-rounded veterans (Barcelos, Lima) and a lower defensive striking rate (46%) suggest he'll struggle against Cejudo's pressure and ability to dictate where the fight takes place. Although Cejudo's age is a concern, similar veteran wrestlers have a winning record against prospects with Talbott's statistical profile. This makes Cejudo a slight but data-backed favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 can be found on the Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 event page.
