Winner: Brandon Moreno
Confidence Score: 65Brandon Moreno holds a significant edge in UFC experience, having faced and often beaten elite competition at the top of the flyweight division for years. He has a proven track record in five-round main events, a strong submission game (11 wins by submission), and better overall defensive metrics, particularly in striking defense (61% vs 47%) and takedown defense (64% vs 45%). Both fighters are similar in size and reach, but Moreno's durability, cardio, and ability to adapt mid-fight have been key in his success. Taira is a talented and fast-rising prospect with excellent finishing ability and superior striking accuracy (60%) but has struggled against top-5 opposition, as seen in his recent split decision loss to Brandon Royval. Historically, fighters with Moreno's profile—championship experience, high-level grappling, and strong defensive stats—have prevailed over rising contenders with similar records and skillsets. The main concern is Moreno's recent mileage and age, but the data still favors him in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 can be found on the Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 event page.
