Winner: Michael Morales
Confidence Score: 62Michael Morales is undefeated at 18-0 with a striking-heavy style, a massive 7-inch reach advantage, and a recent history of finishing top welterweights like Gilbert Burns and Neil Magny by first-round KO/TKO. He is also significantly younger (26 vs. 32), which historically favors the striker in similar welterweight matchups. Morales' 89% takedown defense is critical against Sean Brady's strong grappling and submission game. While Brady is the higher-ranked and more experienced grappler with better striking accuracy and defense, Morales' ability to keep the fight standing and his power advantage, combined with his athletic prime and reach, give him the edge. Historically, younger, longer, high-output strikers with elite takedown defense are winning a majority of similar UFC welterweight matchups against older grapplers. However, Brady's proven ability to grind out wins against top opposition keeps the confidence moderate, as his path to victory is clear if he can consistently get takedowns.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sean Brady vs Michael Morales can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
