Winner: Muhammad Naimov
Confidence Score: 67Muhammad Naimov is a well-rounded featherweight with a proven track record in the UFC, showing both knockout power (6 KOs) and a solid grappling base (36% takedown accuracy, 68% takedown defense). His recent performances have been strong, with a string of wins and notable first-round finishes. Statistically, fighters with his blend of experience, finishing ability, and defensive wrestling have a higher win rate in similar featherweight matchups. Mairon Santos, while boasting an impressive 17-1 record and strong striking stats (46% accuracy, 66% defense), lacks a submission threat and has shown vulnerability to grappling (0% takedown accuracy, 50% defense). Historically, strikers with limited grappling in their UFC debuts or early tenure tend to struggle against versatile opponents like Naimov, especially when the grappler has more UFC experience and is fighting in his natural weight class. The age and physical metrics are close, but Naimov's all-around skillset and proven ability to win against UFC-level competition give him the edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Muhammad Naimov vs Mairon Santos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 can be found on the Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 event page.
