Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner - AI generated fight pick

Edson Barboza is the pick due to his significant experience advantage, superior striking defense, and proven durability at lightweight. While Jalin Turner has youth, reach, and finishing ability on his side, his recent five-fight losing streak (including stoppages by submission and KO/TKO) raises concerns about his current form and ability to handle adversity. Barboza's 56% significant strike defense and 73% takedown defense are both above average, and historically, older, high-level strikers with Barboza's defensive metrics have a strong win rate against younger, aggressive but defensively porous opponents like Turner (who only defends 42% of significant strikes). Barboza's recent opponents have also been at a higher level than Turner's, and despite Barboza's age, fighters with similar profiles have outperformed younger, struggling fighters in similar matchups. The pick is not high confidence due to Barboza's age and Turner's physical tools, but the data favors the veteran's experience and technical edge.