Winner: Mansur Abdul-Malik
Confidence Score: 82Mansur Abdul-Malik is undefeated (8-0-1) and has shown a high finishing rate with 7 knockouts and 6 first-round finishes, indicating explosive power and fast starts. Statistically, he has a significant advantage in defensive metrics: his significant strike defense (51%) and takedown defense (82%) are much higher than Antonio Trocoli's (24% and 50%, respectively). Trocoli is on a two-fight losing streak, both by finish (KO/TKO and submission), and has shown vulnerability to early pressure and finishing ability. While Trocoli is much taller and has a slight reach advantage, his striking defense is poor, and his takedown accuracy is low (11%). Historically, younger, undefeated fighters with high finishing rates and strong defensive stats have won the vast majority of similar UFC matchups, especially against older fighters coming off consecutive stoppage losses. Abdul-Malik's style, youth, and momentum make him the clear pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 can be found on the Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 event page.
