Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon UFC 322 Odds & Analysis

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon Fight Analysis

Introduction

Get ready for a thrilling Bantamweight showdown on the preliminary card of UFC 322, as Malcolm Wellmaker squares off against Cody Haddon on Saturday, November 16, 2025. The action kicks off at 1:00 AM UTC (8:00 PM ET on November 15) at the legendary Madison Square Garden in New York City. With two unbeaten fighters looking to make a statement en route to bantamweight contention, this clash promises fireworks from the opening bell.

Event Details

• Event: UFC 322 – Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
• Date & Time: November 16, 2025 at 1:00 AM UTC (Preliminary Card)
• Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
• Weight Class: Bantamweight (135 lb)

The Fighters

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0-0)

• Record: 10-0-0
• UFC Debut: Apr. 26, 2025
• Style: Power striker with exceptional early finishing ability
• Average Fight Time: 2:22 (six first-round stoppages)
• Key Attributes:
  • Significant Strike Accuracy: 63%
  • Takedown Defence: 100%
  • Reach: 71.5″

Wellmaker has stormed through his first two UFC appearances in devastating fashion, collecting back-to-back first-round finishes over Cameron Saaiman and Kris Moutinho. At 31 years old, he combines heavy hands, technical precision, and a killer instinct that has yet to see him tested past the opening frame.

Cody Haddon (8-1-0)

• Record: 8-1-0
• UFC Debut: Oct. 12, 2024
• Style: Well-rounded MMA fighter with a blend of striking and grappling
• Average Fight Time: 9:05
• Key Attributes:
  • Significant Strike Defence: 64%
  • Takedown Accuracy: 38%
  • Reach: 69″

Haddon earned his UFC contract with a unanimous decision over Daniel Argueta and has shown polished stand-up skills mixed with sneaky submission threats. At 27, he’s on an impressive eight-fight win streak and will look to pressure Wellmaker with volume and positional wrestling.

Favorite vs. Underdog

According to BetOnline.ag, Malcolm Wellmaker enters as a narrow favorite at -128, while Cody Haddon checks in as the underdog at +108.

• Wellmaker’s perfect 10-0 slate and high finishing rate make him the betting market’s pick to extend his run.
• Haddon’s durability, cardio, and championship-caliber grappling create value for sharp bettors willing to back the 8-1 prospect.

Key Questions

1. Can Wellmaker impose his power early, or will Haddon weather the storm and drag the fight into deep waters?
2. Will Haddon’s takedown game find success, or will Wellmaker’s perfect takedown defence keep the fight standing?
3. How will each fighter’s pace and output affect the distance, given Wellmaker’s lightning-fast finishes versus Haddon’s measured approach?

This Bantamweight tilt has all the ingredients for a high-octane battle that could reshape the division rankings. Whether you’re backing the unbeaten striker or the well-rounded Aussie, tune in early—this one could end in a blink or go the distance.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.

Matchup Overview & Fighter Profiles

Malcolm Wellmaker Profile

Age: 31
Country: United States
Fighting Style: Striker / Power Puncher
Height & Reach: 70″ / 71.5″

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
• Win vs. Cameron Saaiman (KO/TKO – R1, 1:59) – UFC Debut, Apr. 26, 2025
• Win vs. Kris Moutinho (KO/TKO – R1, 2:37) – Jun. 14, 2025
• Three straight wins on the regional circuit (all finishes) to open his professional career

Strengths

• Finishing Ability: Six first-round stoppages in ten pro bouts; devastating power to end fights quickly.
• Striking Accuracy: Lands 63% of significant strikes—top-tier precision in the bantamweight division.
• Takedown Defense: Perfect 100% rate; opponents have zero success bringing him to the mat.
• Reach Advantage: +2.5″ over Haddon, enabling him to dictate distance with jabs and straights.

Weaknesses

• Cardio & Durability: Virtually untested beyond two-and-a-half-minute mark; potential fading if fight extends.
• Grappling Offense: 0% takedown accuracy suggests limited wrestling threat—relies primarily on stand-up exchanges.
• Experience Under Pressure: Only two UFC fights; might struggle if pressured by a high-volume fighter.

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Cody Haddon Profile

Age: 27
Country: Australia
Fighting Style: Well-Rounded MMA / Pressure Fighter
Height & Reach: 67″ / 69″

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
• Win vs. Daniel Argueta (Decision – Unanimous, 3 Rds) – UFC Debut, Oct. 12, 2024
• Three regional victories (2 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission) before joining the UFC
• Only loss came early in his career; currently on an eight-fight win streak

Strengths

• Cardio & Durability: Averages over nine minutes per fight; can maintain a steady pace into championship rounds.
• Defense: 64% significant strike defense; avoids and counters effectively in close quarters.
• Grappling Mix: 38% takedown accuracy with 83% takedown defense—can threaten both on the mat and in scramble.
• Adaptability: Comfortable trading in the pocket or shooting level changes to mix striking and wrestling.

Weaknesses

• Finishing Power: Only five KOs in eight wins; less one-punch knockout threat compared to Wellmaker’s heavy hands.
• Striking Precision: 51% accuracy—vulnerable if forced into a firefight with a more accurate opponent.
• Reach Disadvantage: Must close distance against Wellmaker’s longer jab line, potentially walking into power shots.

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Head-to-Head Dynamics

• Distance Control: Wellmaker’s reach and striking accuracy favor stand-up, while Haddon must use footwork and level changes.
• Pace vs. Power: Haddon’s gas tank and volume approach could neutralize Wellmaker’s quick explosions if he survives the early onslaught.
• Ground Game: Wellmaker’s perfect takedown defense versus Haddon’s moderate wrestling success—key to Haddon’s strategy.

This clash of a blossoming power puncher and a battle-tested all-rounder sets the stage for a classic striker-vs. grinder narrative. Whichever fighter imposes his style early—or adapts when challenged—will emerge with a critical statement win in the bantamweight division.

Betting Odds & Line Movement

Current Betting Odds

Heading into UFC 322’s preliminary card clash, Malcolm Wellmaker is a narrow favorite at -128, while Cody Haddon sits just outside as the underdog at +108, according to BetOnline.ag.

• Favorite: Malcolm Wellmaker (-128)
• Underdog: Cody Haddon (+108)
• Best Sportsbook to Bet: BetOnline.ag remains the go-to for sharp lines and up-to-date odds on this bantamweight battle.

The spread is tight, reflecting two fighters on impressive runs—Wellmaker undefeated at 10-0, Haddon 8-1—and bettors are nearly split on who has the edge when the cage door closes.

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Line Movement Trends

A deep dive into the odds history reveals significant early swings for both men, suggesting large early-money interest and possible sharp action:

Malcolm Wellmaker Odds History

• Opened at +100 on Nov. 9 (12:00 PM UTC)
• Shifted into heavy favorite territory as low as -156 by Nov. 9 (15:27)
• Gradually softened to -128 by Nov. 10 (07:49)

Key Swing: A 256-point move from +100 to -156 in under three hours, indicating aggressive backing once bettors dig into his perfect UFC start and first-round finishing rate.

Cody Haddon Odds History

• Opened as a slight favorite at -120 on Nov. 9 (12:00 PM UTC)
• Drifting into underdog status, peaking at +136 around Nov. 9 (15:27)
• Tightening back to +108 as of Nov. 10 (07:49)

Notable Shift: Haddon moved from favorite to +136 underdog—a 256-point reversal—before bettors reeled him back in at +108, perhaps reacting to updated weights, last-minute interviews, or early smart money.

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Payout Scenarios & Implied Chances

If you believe in either fighter, here’s what a $1,000 wager would net you:

• Bet $1,000 on Wellmaker (-128):
  – Returns approximately $1,781 (about $781 profit)
• Bet $1,000 on Haddon (+108):
  – Returns approximately $2,080 (about $1,080 profit)

Based on these odds, Wellmaker carries roughly a 56% implied chance to win, while Haddon’s line suggests about a 48% likelihood—numbers that sum to more than 100% once the sportsbook’s vig is included. Without getting bogged down in formulas, you can see the market slightly favors the hard-hitting American, but backing the Aussie comes with a richer payout for the risk.

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Betting Takeaways

• Value on the Dog? Haddon’s +108 offers a profit potential that may lure contrarian bettors, especially if he can exploit his cardio edge and grappling mix.
• Lean with the Favorite? Wellmaker’s snapping jab, pinpoint accuracy, and flawless takedown defense justify his minus-price tag if you believe he can end the fight early.
• Watch the Line: Both fighters saw rapid swings; monitor BetOnline.ag for any last-minute tweaks that could signal new information or further smart-money movement.

Whether you side with the power striker or the well-rounded Aussie, these odds deliver compelling risk-reward dynamics for any UFC bettor.