Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden - AI generated fight pick

Allan Nascimento has a significant grappling edge with 14 submission wins and a history of finishing fights early (12 first-round finishes). While Cody Durden has a higher takedown defense (73% vs Nascimento's 31%), his recent form is concerning—he's lost 4 of his last 5, including two KO/TKO defeats in his last three bouts, which suggests potential durability issues. Nascimento's striking accuracy (60%) is much higher than Durden's (45%), and he has a 2.5-inch reach advantage, which can help him keep Durden at bay or set up submissions. Historically, fighters with Nascimento's profile—longer reach, high submission rate, and solid striking accuracy—have had success against fighters with Durden's style, especially when the latter is on a losing streak. While Durden is dangerous early and can mix up his attacks, Nascimento's submission threat and finishing instincts give him the edge, especially if the fight hits the mat.