Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda: Odds, Analysis & Pick

# Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda Fight Analysis

## Introduction

On **Sunday, December 14, 2025**, fight fans will turn their attention to the **UFC APEX** in **Las Vegas, Nevada**, where two of the Women’s Flyweight division’s most promising talents collide on the **Preliminary Card** of **UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape**. The bout between **Jamey-Lyn Horth** and **Tereza Bleda** is officially slated to kick off the early preliminary session, with a scheduled start time of **2025-12-14T00:00:00.000Z** (local times vary; please consult your provider). 

Despite both fighters entering the Octagon with impressive records—Horth at **8-2-0** and Bleda at **7-1-0**—the betting markets have clearly identified a favorite and an underdog. According to BetOnline.ag, **Tereza Bleda** carries the betting line at **-180**, making her the **favorite**, while **Jamey-Lyn Horth** sits on the wrong side of the odds at **+155**, designating her as the **underdog**. This line reflects Bleda’s formidable wrestling pedigree, her crisp takedown accuracy (28%), and her stout takedown defense (83%), which have suffocated opponents in two first-round finishes and extended her average fight time to just under fourteen minutes.  

By contrast, Horth stamps her résumé with strong striking credentials—boasting a 55% significant strike accuracy and a career record featuring three knockouts—as well as a respectable 43% takedown success rate. Yet, at **35 years old**, she will be the senior combatant against Bleda, who at **21** has youth and explosive power on her side. Horth’s experience in five UFC bouts, including a unanimous decision victory over Vanessa Demopoulos in June 2025, suggests she can weather early storms and impose her kickboxing arsenal over the distance. However, the odds imply that bettors favor Bleda’s wrestling control and submission threats (2 wins by submission) to be the difference-maker in this matchup.

As the curtain-raiser to the main card, this clash promises high pace and strategic intrigue. Will Bleda utilize her wrestling acumen to dominate the grappling exchanges, or can Horth keep the contest standing and capitalize on striking volume and precision? With a spot on the main card hanging in the balance—along with vital division momentum—both fighters have everything to gain. 

In this analysis, we’ll break down each athlete’s strengths and stylistic matchups, examine key statistical indicators, review their recent performances, and explore betting angles to help you make an informed pick. But first, mark your calendar for **December 14** at the **UFC APEX**, because **Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda** is set to ignite the Preliminary Card and set the tone for an action-packed evening in Las Vegas.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.

# Matchup and Fighter Profiles

## Tereza Bleda – The Rising Czech Wrestler

**Age:** 21 • **Country:** Czechia • **Fighting Style:** Wrestling

A teenage phenom turned rising UFC prospect, Tereza Bleda stormed into the Women’s Flyweight division with a crisp wrestling base and finishing instincts. At just **21 years old**, the Cheb native boasts a **7-1-0** professional record, including **2 knockouts**, **2 submissions**, and an impressive **3 first-round finishes**. She debuted in the UFC on **Nov. 19, 2022**, suffered her lone loss via late TKO to Natalia Silva, then rebounded on **June 17, 2023** with a unanimous decision win over Gabriella Fernandes.

**Recent Form (Last 2 UFC Bouts):**  
- Win vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Decision – Unanimous)  
- Loss vs. Natalia Silva (KO/TKO, R3 1:27)  

Beyond the UFC, Bleda rattled off a string of finishes in regional promotion bouts to earn her contract. Though she’s evenly split in the Octagon (1-1), her overall momentum remains undeniable.  

**Strengths:**  
- **Takedown Defense (83%)**: Bleda shuts down opponents’ grappling attempts, keeping control on her terms.  
- **Takedown Accuracy (28%)**: She mixes level changes to force fights to the mat—an unusual asset in a division stacked with strikers.  
- **Balanced Finishing Portfolio**: Two KOs and two subs speak to her versatility once the fight hits the ground or stays standing.  
- **Average Fight Time (13:49)**: Her stamina and pace allow her to outwork opponents over three rounds.  

**Weaknesses:**  
- **Significant Strike Defense (47%)**: Below-average defense makes her susceptible to crisp counters and volume strikers.  
- **Striking Defense Under Pressure**: If she fails to enforce the wrestling early, her guard can be exposed by elite strikers.  
- **Limited UFC Experience**: Only two Octagon appearances—she can be overwhelmed by veteran savvy.  

## Jamey-Lyn Horth – The Seasoned Canadian Kickboxer

**Age:** 35 • **Country:** Canada • **Fighting Style:** Kickboxing

A late-blooming talent from Vancouver, Jamey-Lyn Horth brings a polished kickboxing arsenal and championship poise to the prelims. She owns an **8-2-0** pro mark, with **3 knockouts** and **2 submissions**, and made her UFC debut on **Apr. 29, 2023**. Horth’s cage résumé includes five UFC fights, yielding a **3-2** run since stepping under the lights.

**Recent Form (Last 5 UFC Bouts):**  
- Win vs. Vanessa Demopoulos (Decision – Unanimous, Jun. 14, 2025)  
- Loss vs. Miranda Maverick (Decision – Unanimous, Dec. 14, 2024)  
- Win vs. Ivana Petrovic (Decision – Split, Nov. 2, 2024)  
- Loss vs. Veronica Hardy (Decision – Split, Dec. 2, 2023)  
- Win vs. Hailey Cowan (Decision – Unanimous, Apr. 29, 2023)  

Horth’s résumé reflects a grinder who thrives in drawn-out striking battles and applies pressure with well-timed kicks and combinations.

**Strengths:**  
- **Significant Strike Accuracy (55%)**: Above-average precision allows her to score clean shots and win striking exchanges.  
- **Significant Strike Defense (63%)**: She slips and parries efficiently, making opponents miss and paying the price.  
- **Takedown Offense (43%)**: A surprising wrestling aptitude for a striker—she can mix in level changes to keep adversaries honest.  
- **Experience & Card Savvy**: Five UFC outings have sharpened her octagon IQ and fight-night composure.  

**Weaknesses:**  
- **Takedown Defense (77%)**: Vulnerable to elite wrestlers who can smother her striking with top control.  
- **No First-Round Finishes**: Horth has yet to find an early stoppage, suggesting a lower finishing upside.  
- **Pace & Age Factor**: At 35, her output can dip late, and younger athletes may outwork her over three rounds.  

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As Horth looks to land her kickboxing range and mix in takedowns, Bleda will aim to enforce her wrestling and punish Horth’s below-average strike defense. This clash of styles—veteran kickboxer versus youthful grappler—sets the stage for a compelling preliminary scrap in Las Vegas.  

# Betting Odds and Line Movement

## Current Moneyline and Odds Summary

As of the latest update on **BetOnline.ag**, the posted moneylines for **Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda** stand at:

- **Tereza Bleda: -180** (Favorite)  
- **Jamey-Lyn Horth: +155** (Underdog)  

The **180/155** disparity highlights the book’s clear lean toward Bleda’s wrestling pedigree and youth advantage. A bettor backing Bleda must risk \$180 to win \$100, whereas a wager on Horth at **+155** would yield \$155 profit on every \$100 staked. This differential underscores the perceived edge of Bleda’s grappling control over Horth’s kickboxing-based offense.

**Best Sportsbook to Bet On:**  
Our data shows **BetOnline.ag** offering these most competitive lines and a solid reputation for UFC markets. If you’re shopping for a favorable line or bonus, BetOnline.ag is the go-to establishment for this matchup.

## Line Movement and Historical Trends

Analyzing the **odds history** reveals moderate volatility over the past 24 hours:

Tereza Bleda (Favorite)  
- December 5, 17:18 UTC: **-200**  
- December 5, 18:07 UTC: **-170**  
- December 6, 07:59 UTC: **-180**  

Jamey-Lyn Horth (Underdog)  
- December 5, 17:18 UTC: **+170**  
- December 5, 18:07 UTC: **+145**  
- December 6, 07:59 UTC: **+155**  

Key observations:  
- **Early sharping on Bleda** pushed her line from -200 to -170, suggesting initial moneyflow on the favorite.  
- **Subsequent correction** moved Bleda back to -180 and Horth to +155, indicating balanced action as smart money recognized undervalued odds on the underdog.  
- The largest swing came on December 5 evening, with a **30-cent move** in Bleda’s favor and a **25-cent shift** for Horth, reflecting bettors capitalizing on short-term news or model adjustments.

## Implied Probabilities & Payout Scenarios

Based on these current moneylines, the implied winning chances and \$1,000 payout scenarios are:

- **Tereza Bleda (-180)**  
  • Implied Probability: approximately **64%**  
  • \$1,000 Bet Payout: **\$1,556** (Your \$1,000 stake + \$556 profit)  

- **Jamey-Lyn Horth (+155)**  
  • Implied Probability: approximately **39%**  
  • \$1,000 Bet Payout: **\$2,550** (Your \$1,000 stake + \$1,550 profit)  

Clearly, a bet on Horth carries higher upside but lower probability, while Bleda is the safer choice with more modest returns.

## Betting Angle and Takeaway

- **Sharp Interest & Early Action:** The initial move from -200 to -170 on Bleda suggests early sharp money backed the favorite’s wrestling advantage.  
- **Adjustment Phase:** The line retraced to -180 as recreational bettors found value on Horth’s striking credentials.  
- **Risk/Reward:** A \$1,000 play on Horth nets over \$1,500 in profit, making the underdog lean attractive to bettors chasing bigger returns. Conversely, Bleda’s heavier implied probability appeals to risk-averse bettors looking for a higher win expectancy.

For those seeking a safer play with a strong grappling edge, **Tereza Bleda at -180** on **BetOnline.ag** is the favored option. If you prefer a high-variance, high-reward scenario, **Jamey-Lyn Horth at +155** offers an enticing payout should the veteran outstrike the young Czech wrestler.