Winner: Ricky Simon
Confidence Score: 68Ricky Simon is the pick based on his age advantage (32 vs 38), wrestling-centric style, and superior takedown accuracy (43% vs 33%). While Raoni Barcelos has excellent takedown defense (86%) and is on a three-fight win streak, historically, wrestlers with Simon's profile—youth, strong takedown output, and high defensive metrics—tend to outperform older jiu-jitsu specialists in the bantamweight division. Simon also has a reach advantage (69" arm reach vs 67"), which is significant for controlling distance in striking and grappling exchanges. Both have similar recent records, but Simon's wrestling and ability to mix in striking and takedowns, combined with the statistical trend of younger, athletic wrestlers besting older jiu-jitsu fighters, gives him the edge. However, Barcelos' recent resurgence and strong defensive stats make this a competitive matchup, hence a moderate confidence score.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bonfim vs Brown can be found on the Bonfim vs Brown event page.
