Winner: Miles Johns
Confidence Score: 57Miles Johns is a durable, well-rounded bantamweight with a strong boxing base and excellent defensive metrics (67% significant strike defense, 83% takedown defense). While his striking output and accuracy (44%) are lower than Daniel Marcos' (54%), Johns' defensive prowess and experience against high-level competition in the UFC since 2019 give him an edge. Both fighters have similar ages and physical stats, but Johns' ability to neutralize opponents' offense, combined with his experience against more proven UFC talent, tips this close matchup in his favor. Notably, Daniel Marcos has struggled against strong defensive fighters (e.g., Montel Jackson), and his recent loss to Jackson suggests issues when facing opponents who can shut down his offense. While Marcos is dangerous and accurate, Johns' defensive skills, experience, and ability to win close decisions make him a slight favorite in this matchup. However, the fight is close on paper, so my confidence is moderate.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bonfim vs Brown can be found on the Bonfim vs Brown event page.
