Winner: Amanda Lemos
Confidence Score: 68Amanda Lemos holds significant advantages in striking and takedown defense, which are critical in this matchup. She boasts a much higher significant strike accuracy (55% vs 49%) and a strong 8 KO wins, indicating superior finishing power on the feet compared to her opponent. Her takedown defense (64%) is notably better than Gillian Robertson's (41%), which is crucial given Robertson's grappling-heavy approach (9 submission wins). Lemos is also more efficient with takedown attempts (63% accuracy), and her experience against top contenders at strawweight, along with her #5 ranking, suggests she is more proven at the elite level. Robertson's recent form is strong, but her difficulty defending takedowns and reliance on submissions could be neutralized by Lemos' defensive skills and power. Historically, fighters with Lemos' profile—older, high KO rate, better takedown defense, and elite striking—win the majority of these stylistic matchups, especially at the higher end of the strawweight division.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
