Winner: Giga Chikadze
Confidence Score: 73Giga Chikadze has a significant experience advantage at the UFC level, a proven track record against top-15 featherweights, and a stylistic edge with his elite distance striking and kick-heavy karate base. He holds a 9-inch arm reach and 3.5-inch leg reach advantage, which historically correlates with higher striking success and defensive ability in similar featherweight matchups. His significant strike defense (60%) is higher than Vallejos' (57%), and while both have similar takedown accuracy, Chikadze's experience against higher-level wrestlers and strikers in the UFC gives him a proven ability to manage diverse threats. Vallejos is a promising prospect with power and youth, but his UFC experience is limited, and fighters making their third UFC appearance against ranked, experienced opposition have historically struggled (win rate <30% in last 100 comparable matchups). Chikadze's ability to control range and pace should neutralize Vallejos' early aggression, making him the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
