Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere - AI generated fight pick

Melquizael Costa has a slight statistical edge in key areas for this featherweight matchup. He is younger (28 vs 30), has a reach advantage (71" arm, 40.5" leg vs 69" arm, 39" leg), and is more defensively sound against strikes (55% vs 54%) and takedowns (58% vs 83%, though Charriere's takedown defense is much higher). Costa's finishing ability is more balanced with 7 KOs and 8 submissions, while Charriere relies more on knockouts. Both have identical significant strike accuracy (50%) and similar average fight times, but Costa's more diverse finishing methods and slight edge in defensive metrics historically give fighters a better chance in closely matched featherweight bouts. Charriere is dangerous with his striking and has a strong takedown defense, but Costa's physical advantages and submission threat tip the scales in his favor, though the pick is not high confidence due to the close stylistic matchup and both fighters' recent mixed results.