Winner: Cesar Almeida
Confidence Score: 74Cesar Almeida is a proven finisher with a 7-1 record, 5 wins by knockout, and 4 first-round finishes, showing dangerous striking power and experience in longer fights (average fight time 11:18). He has a significant reach advantage (74" arm, 43" leg) and a clear striking style, with a solid 59% significant strike accuracy. While his defensive metrics are average (48% sig strike defense, 60% takedown defense), he has faced more adversity and demonstrated resilience. Cezary Oleksiejczuk, though undefeated, has only one UFC fight (36 seconds long), making his 100% stats unreliable due to the tiny sample size. Historically, fighters with Almeida's experience and finishing rate outperform debutants, especially when the debutant lacks proven power or grappling threat. Almeida's age (37) is a concern, but his physicality, experience, and finishing ability make him the more likely winner against a largely untested opponent.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
