Winner: Malcolm Wellmaker
Confidence Score: 90Malcolm Wellmaker is the clear pick based on available data. He is undefeated at 10-0, with a high finishing rate (6 KOs, 2 submissions, 6 first-round finishes). His striking metrics are elite for the division: 63% significant strike accuracy and 61% defense, showing both precision and defensive awareness. He also has a significant physical advantage in arm and leg reach, which is historically correlated with higher win rates in the Featherweight division. His takedown defense is perfect (100%), which makes him very hard to control or surprise on the ground. Ethyn Ewing is making his UFC debut with no professional record or statistical output, which historically results in a low win rate for debutants against undefeated, proven finishers. Wellmaker's experience, proven power, and statistical dominance make him the strong favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Ethyn Ewing can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
