Winner: Alexander Volkanovski
Confidence Score: 68Alexander Volkanovski is the reigning champion with a proven track record against elite featherweights and has already defeated Diego Lopes by unanimous decision in a five-round title fight. Volkanovski's statistical edges include superior significant strike accuracy (57% vs 49%), better significant strike defense (59% vs 47%), and slightly better takedown defense (70% vs 68%), which is crucial against a submission specialist like Lopes. While Lopes is younger and has a longer reach, Volkanovski's experience, championship-level cardio, and ability to neutralize submission threats have historically led to success for fighters in similar situations. Additionally, Volkanovski's only recent losses have come at lightweight or against top-tier competition, while he has consistently defended his featherweight title. Age is a concern as Volkanovski is now 37, but historically, dominant champions with his statistical profile and recent head-to-head win maintain a high probability of repeating success in immediate rematches.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Volkanovski vs Lopes can be found on the Volkanovski vs Lopes event page.
