Winner: Neil Magny
Confidence Score: 68Neil Magny is a proven UFC veteran with 45 fights (31-14 record) and a wealth of experience at welterweight. He possesses significant reach advantages (80" arm reach, 45" leg reach), solid striking stats (47% accuracy, 52% defense), and respectable wrestling numbers (40% takedown accuracy, 55% defense). Yaroslav Amosov, though a highly regarded prospect and Bellator champion, is making his UFC debut and has no UFC-level stats or history to reference. Historically, UFC veterans with Magny's experience and physical tools win the majority of matchups against promotional newcomers, especially when the debutant has no UFC cage time or data. While Amosov is an elite wrestler and undefeated in Bellator, the transition to UFC competition and the step up in opposition, combined with Magny's reach and cardio, give the edge to Magny. The pick is less confident than usual due to Amosov's high-level skillset and unknowns at UFC level, but data favors the established UFC fighter in this scenario.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
