Winner: Sean Sharaf
Confidence Score: 72Sean Sharaf has a clear experience and finishing edge, with a 4-1 record and all 4 wins by knockout in the first round. His longer average fight time (7:15 vs 0:16) suggests he can sustain pace past the opening minute, which is critical at heavyweight. While Steven Asplund showed strong striking accuracy (65%) and defense (71%) in his debut, it was over a very short sample (16 seconds), making it unreliable. Sharaf's lower striking accuracy and defense are concerns, but his proven power and ability to end fights early are significant, especially since Asplund has not shown finishing ability (0 KOs, 0 subs). The age gap (Sharaf is 32, Asplund is 27) and slight size differences do not outweigh the gap in experience and finishing pedigree. Historically, heavyweights with Sharaf's profile (multiple early KOs, more UFC experience) win the majority of similar matchups against debuting or low-experience opponents. Unless Asplund lands something big early, Sharaf's power and experience should prevail.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Kape can be found on the Royval vs Kape event page.
