Winner: Natalia Silva
Confidence Score: 67Natalia Silva has key statistical and stylistic advantages in this matchup. She is younger (28 vs 33), has a better recent win streak, and is ranked higher (#2 vs #6). Silva's striking is slightly more accurate (46% vs 42%) and her striking defense is marginally better (65% vs 64%). The most significant edge is her elite takedown defense (92%), which should neutralize Rose Namajunas' wrestling and scrambling, especially since Rose's takedown accuracy is only 51%. Silva's Taekwondo-based movement and ability to keep the fight standing play well against Rose's more traditional MMA approach. Historically, fighters with Silva's age, athleticism, and defensive stats at this division have a higher win rate over aging veterans with similar profiles to Rose. While Rose is highly experienced and can win close decisions, Silva's athletic prime, statistical edges, and style matchup make her the more likely winner, though Rose's championship experience keeps the confidence below 70%.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Gaethje vs Pimblett can be found on the Gaethje vs Pimblett event page.
