Winner: Max Holloway
Confidence Score: 68Max Holloway is stylistically a difficult matchup for Charles Oliveira. Holloway's elite volume striking, excellent cardio, and outstanding takedown defense (83%) make it very hard for submission specialists like Oliveira to implement their game. Holloway has a proven track record of overwhelming high-level grapplers with pace and durability, and his significant strike defense (59%) is notably higher than Oliveira's (49%). Oliveira is always dangerous with submissions and has a reach advantage, but Holloway's ability to avoid submissions and keep the fight standing is well-documented. Historically, fighters with Holloway's profile—high output strikers with strong takedown defense and durability—have succeeded against aggressive submission artists, especially as fights go later. Oliveira's tendency to get hurt in exchanges and Holloway's ability to push a relentless pace tilt this matchup toward Holloway, though Oliveira's finishing ability keeps it from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 can be found on the Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event page.
