Winner: Junior Tafa
Confidence Score: 62Junior Tafa is a powerful kickboxer with a 100% KO win rate (all 6 wins by knockout), and he has 4 first-round finishes, indicating potent early fight finishing ability. He has a significant edge in knockout power compared to Billy Elekana, who has only 3 KO wins and leans more on a well-rounded MMA approach. Tafa's striking defense (52%) is slightly better than Elekana's (46%), and his takedown defense (69%) is a notable advantage over Elekana’s 0%. Elekana's significant strike accuracy is higher (61% vs 51%), but his defense is lower and he has shown vulnerability to aggressive strikers. Historically, kickboxers with Tafa's profile, age, and finishing rate have a higher win percentage in similar light heavyweight matchups, especially when facing opponents with lower takedown threat and less striking power. While Elekana is more well-rounded and recently submitted Kevin Christian, Tafa's experience against higher-level strikers and his proven finishing ability make him the more likely winner in this stylistic matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Volkanovski vs Lopes can be found on the Volkanovski vs Lopes event page.
