Winner: Cam Rowston
Confidence Score: 63Cam Rowston holds a significant reach advantage (6 inches in arm reach, 3 inches in leg reach) and is younger by a year, which historically favors fighters in the middleweight division. He has a better overall record (13-3 vs. 11-7-1) and a higher submission win rate, which is relevant given Cody Brundage's past vulnerability to submissions (recent loss to Bo Nickal by submission). Rowston's takedown defense is a concern (29%), but Brundage's offensive wrestling (46% takedown accuracy) hasn't been dominant enough recently, as evidenced by his recent losses. Rowston's finishing ability (7 first-round finishes) and well-rounded attack (5 KO, 7 sub wins) provide multiple paths to victory, especially if he can survive early takedowns and exploit Brundage's striking and submission defense. While Brundage has more UFC experience and can start strong, Rowston's reach, finishing ability, and historical trends in similar matchups give him the edge, though the low takedown defense keeps the confidence moderate.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Volkanovski vs Lopes can be found on the Volkanovski vs Lopes event page.
