Winner: Nikita Krylov
Confidence Score: 76Nikita Krylov has a significant edge in both experience and finishing ability, with 30 wins (28 finishes) and a much higher rate of first-round stoppages (23) compared to Modestas Bukauskas. Krylov's striking accuracy (55%) and submission wins (16) suggest he is dangerous everywhere, and his average fight time (6:34) shows he often finishes fights early. While Bukauskas has solid recent form and good takedown defense (80%), his striking defense (51%) and overall experience do not match Krylov's. Historically, fighters with Krylov's combination of reach, finishing rate, and top-15 ranking have a strong win rate against mid-tier light heavyweights like Bukauskas. Krylov's well-rounded finishing threat and proven performance against higher-level opposition make him the likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Gaethje vs Pimblett can be found on the Gaethje vs Pimblett event page.
