Winner: Quillan Salkilld
Confidence Score: 68Quillan Salkilld has a significant physical advantage with a 3-inch height, 4-inch arm reach, and 3-inch leg reach edge over Rongzhu, which historically correlates with a higher win rate in lightweight matchups. Salkilld is younger in UFC experience but has demonstrated excellent finishing ability (5 first-round finishes in 11 fights), a high significant strike accuracy (58%), and perfect takedown defense (100%). While Rongzhu is more experienced with 33 pro fights and has strong takedown defense (84%) and a high takedown accuracy (63%), his significant strike defense (53%) is not enough to offset Salkilld's offensive efficiency and physical advantages. Recent form also favors Salkilld, who is on a three-fight win streak with quick finishes, whereas Rongzhu has alternated wins and losses and suffered a stoppage loss within his last three fights. The data suggests Salkilld's striking accuracy, reach, and defensive grappling will be decisive.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Quillan Salkilld vs Rongzhu can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Volkanovski vs Lopes can be found on the Volkanovski vs Lopes event page.
