Winner: Caio Borralho
Confidence Score: 65Caio Borralho holds statistical and stylistic advantages over Reinier de Ridder. Borralho has a higher significant strike accuracy (56% to 53%), much better significant strike defense (60% to 49%), and a strong takedown defense (77% vs. de Ridder's 50%). While de Ridder is a dangerous submission specialist, Borralho's MMA style, younger age (32 vs. 35), and proven ability to neutralize grapplers give him the edge. Historically, fighters with Borralho's takedown defense and striking efficiency outperform single-style grapplers in the UFC's middleweight division, especially when they are younger and more well-rounded. Borralho's recent form is also strong, and his ability to avoid submissions and control the pace favors him in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 can be found on the Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event page.
