Winner: Cody Garbrandt
Confidence Score: 68Cody Garbrandt, despite being older (33 vs 27), has significant knockout power with 11 KO wins and 8 first-round finishes, which is a notable edge over Xiao Long's 5 KO wins. Garbrandt's defensive metrics are superior: his significant strike defense is 60% compared to Long's 50%, and his takedown defense is 84% versus Long's 80%. While Long has a reach advantage (70" arm reach vs 65.5" for Garbrandt), Garbrandt's experience against higher-level competition and his ability to finish fights early are key factors. Historically, fighters with Garbrandt's finishing ability and defensive stats at bantamweight have outperformed younger, volume-based strikers like Long, especially when the more experienced fighter has a high takedown defense. Garbrandt's recent form is mixed, but his skillset and history against elite opposition give him the edge in this stylistic matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 can be found on the Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event page.
