Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura UFC Odds & Fight Analysis

Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura Fight Analysis

Introduction

On Saturday, February 7, 2026, fight fans will turn their attention to Las Vegas, Nevada, as the UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira preliminary card kicks off at the state-of-the-art Meta APEX arena. One of the most intriguing undercard matchups features two rising contenders in the Women’s Flyweight division: #12-ranked Wang Cong of China and #13-ranked Eduarda Moura of Brazil. Scheduled to begin at approximately 11:00 PM PT, this bout promises fireworks as both athletes look to make a statement on the world’s premier mixed martial arts stage.

Wang Cong enters the Octagon as the clear favorite at -210, according to BetOnline.ag, thanks in large part to her high-octane striking, elite takedown prowess, and perfect takedown defense. With an impressive 57% significant strike accuracy and 75% takedown success rate, the 33-year-old striker has shown she can outpoint opponents while remaining elusive—a combination that has carried her to an 8-1 professional record, including two highlight-reel knockouts.

Standing across from her is the gritty Brazilian stylist, Eduarda Moura, listed as the underdog at +180. Moura brings a well-rounded game to the cage, blending her Jiu-Jitsu pedigree with dangerous striking. Boasting a 12-1 record and five submission victories, the 31-year-old Rio native has finished seven of her fights in the first round and carries a 38% takedown accuracy into this matchup. Her ability to drag opponents into deep grappling exchanges makes her a constant threat to derail Cong’s striking rhythm and ground-and-pound.

Key Storylines

• Striker vs. Grappler: Wang Cong’s stand-up prowess contrasts with Moura’s submission-oriented style. Can Cong keep the fight at distance and control the pace, or will Moura find a way to close the distance and exploit her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu?
• Momentum and Experience: Wang has rebounded impressively from her lone UFC loss, stringing together key victories against Bruna Brasil and Victoria Leonardo. Moura, fresh off back-to-back unanimous decision wins over seasoned veterans Lauren Murphy and Veronica Hardy, is riding her own wave of momentum.
• Cardiac Test: Both fighters have gone to decision multiple times, but each possesses finishing power—Cong with two knockouts and Moura with four. Will this scrap stay on the scorecards, or will someone make a highlight-reel statement?

Betting Outlook

With Wang Cong at -210 and Eduarda Moura at +180, the odds suggest that bettors expect Cong to control the fight with her striking and takedown offense. However, Moura’s underdog status could offer value for those anticipating a grappling onslaught or late-fight submission. As the odds have tightened slightly in the days leading up to fight night, the smart money will be on where each fighter’s strengths align with potential weak spots in her opponent’s game plan.

As the preliminaries get underway at the Meta APEX, all eyes will be on this women’s flyweight clash to see which contender solidifies her standing and inches closer to a top-10 ranking. Will Wang Cong’s precision and power prove too much, or can Eduarda Moura pull off the upset and elevate her status in the division? The stage is set—let the fireworks begin.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bautista vs Oliveira can be found on the Bautista vs Oliveira event page.

Matchup and Fighter Profiles

Wang Cong: The Chinese Striker

Age: 33
Country: China (Liaoning)
Fighting Style: Striker

Wang Cong boasts an 8-1-0 professional record, having made her UFC debut on August 24, 2024. In her short Octagon tenure she’s displayed elite striking and relentless wrestling. Her last four fights read:

• Jun. 7, 2025 – Loss vs. Ariane Da Silva (Decision)
• Feb. 8, 2025 – Win vs. Bruna Brasil (Unanimous Decision)
• Nov. 23, 2024 – Loss vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Submission, Round 2)
• Aug. 24, 2024 – Win vs. Victoria Leonardo (KO/TKO, Round 1)

After a spectacular 62-second knockout in her UFC debut, Cong suffered a submission setback before rebounding with a unanimous decision over Bruna Brasil. Her most recent outing ended in a decision loss to Ariane Da Silva.

Key statistics:

• Significant Strike Accuracy: 57%
• Significant Strike Defense: 63%
• Takedown Accuracy: 75%
• Takedown Defense: 100%
• Avg. Fight Time: 8:35
• First-Round Finishes: 2

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Eduarda Moura: The Brazilian Grappler

Age: 31
Country: Brazil (Riachuelo)
Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Eduarda Moura enters with a strong 12-1-0 record and a reputation for finishing fights early. She debuted in the UFC on November 4, 2023, and her last four outings include:

• Jul. 12, 2025 – Win vs. Lauren Murphy (Unanimous Decision)
• Nov. 16, 2024 – Win vs. Veronica Hardy (Unanimous Decision)
• Jun. 8, 2024 – Loss vs. Denise Gomes (Split Decision)
• Nov. 4, 2023 – Win vs. Montserrat Conejo (KO/TKO, Round 2)

Moura rebounded from her split-decision defeat in June 2024 to score back-to-back unanimous decisions over seasoned veterans, showcasing improved takedown setups and top-control.

Key statistics:

• Significant Strike Accuracy: 38%
• Significant Strike Defense: 62%
• Takedown Accuracy: 38%
• Takedown Defense: 80%
• Avg. Fight Time: 11:15
• First-Round Finishes: 7

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Comparative Analysis: Strengths & Weaknesses

Wang Cong Strengths

• Striking Precision & Volume: 57% accuracy and 63% defense gives her a clear edge in stand-up exchanges.
• Elite Wrestling: 75% takedown success and perfect defense allow her to dictate where the fight takes place.
• Fast Finisher: Short average fight time (8:35) and two first-round knockouts demonstrate fight-ending power early.

Wang Cong Weaknesses

• Ground Vulnerability: Despite perfect takedown defense, her submission loss to Fernandes highlights occasional lapses in grappling transitions.
• Inconsistent Momentum: A 2–2 run in her last four UFC bouts raises questions about her ability to string wins together.

Eduarda Moura Strengths

• Submission Arsenal: Five career submissions and seven first-round finishes showcase her threat on the mat.
• Cardio & Durability: Two back-to-back three-round decision wins over high-caliber opponents prove her gas tank and fight IQ.
• Unpredictability: A balanced knockout-to-submission ratio (4 KOs, 5 subs) forces opponents to prepare for multiple avenues of attack.

Eduarda Moura Weaknesses

• Striking Deficit: With only 38% striking accuracy, she risks being outlanded by precise strikers like Cong.
• Takedown Efficiency: A 38% takedown rate means she may struggle to consistently bring the fight to her favored grappling domain.
• Extended Bouts: An 11:15 average fight time suggests she can be slower to finish and may be pressured in later rounds.

This clash pits Wang Cong’s explosive stand-up and wrestling base against Eduarda Moura’s grappling pedigree and finishing instincts. The key question: can Cong keep the fight upright and impose her pace, or will Moura turn it into a ground battle and seek a submission upset?

Betting Odds & Line Movement

Current Moneyline Odds

As of the latest update from BetOnline.ag, the moneyline for Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura sits at:

• Wang Cong (–210) – the clear favorite
• Eduarda Moura (+180) – the designated underdog

This spread represents a 390-point gap in American odds, signaling that Wang Cong is expected to control the fight. At –210, a $100 wager on Cong would return approximately $147.60 in profit. Conversely, Moura’s +180 line would net $180 on that same $100 bet, rewarding those backing the Brazilian upset.

Among major sportsbooks, BetOnline.ag currently offers the sharpest lines for this bout, making it the go-to choice for bettors seeking the most competitive odds and reliable action on fight night.

Odds History & Line Movement

Tracking the line movement over the past 24 hours reveals significant shifts that bettors must consider:

• January 26, 18:09 UTC
– Wang Cong: –251
– Eduarda Moura: +211

• January 26, 18:29 UTC
– Wang Cong: –220 (31-point move toward pick ’em)
– Eduarda Moura: +185 (26-point move closer to even money)

• January 27, 08:18 UTC
– Wang Cong: –210 (another 10-point shift)
– Eduarda Moura: +180 (5-point adjustment)

These swings—41 points in Cong’s price and 31 points in Moura’s—indicate that early money has gravitated toward the underdog. Whether this reflects sharp action on Brazil’s submission ace or public excitement over Moura’s recent wins, the narrowing line suggests balanced confidence on both sides rather than a runaway favorite.

Payout Scenarios & Implied Probabilities

If you risk $1,000 on either fighter at the current odds, your returns would be:

• Wang Cong (–210): $1,476 total return ($1,000 stake + $476 profit)
• Eduarda Moura (+180): $2,800 total return ($1,000 stake + $1,800 profit)

Translated into implied probabilities, these lines suggest:

• Wang Cong: ~67.7% chance to win
• Eduarda Moura: ~35.7% chance to win

Key Takeaways for Bettors

• Favorite vs. Value: While Wang Cong commands respect as the favorite, the line has softened from –251 to –210, diminishing her value.
• Underdog Appeal: Eduarda Moura’s odds have tightened from +211 to +180, but still offer a juicy return if she can enforce her grappling game.
• Best Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag remains the top option, providing the most attractive lines and transparent odds history.

In summary, the market’s recent line movement points to a growing belief that Moura can make this a closer fight than originally expected. Whether you’re chasing the underdog’s higher payout or hedging on the favorite’s steadiness, understanding these odds dynamics is crucial for crafting a winning wager on fight night.