Winner: Adam Fugitt
Confidence Score: 78Adam Fugitt is the more experienced and proven fighter at the UFC level, with a 10-5 record and a solid mix of knockouts and submissions. His significant strike accuracy (46%) and takedown ability (25% accuracy) are both superior to Ty Miller, who has only one UFC fight and lacks any finishes or takedown success. While Miller has a notable reach and is much younger (25 vs. 36), his only UFC fight went the distance and he showed limited offensive output (34% strike accuracy, 0% takedown accuracy). Historically, fighters with Fugitt's experience and finishing ability have a strong win rate over debuting or low-experience opponents, especially when the more experienced fighter's defense and offensive stats are better. Fugitt's ability to finish fights and handle adversity gives him the edge against a still-unproven Miller, despite the physical advantages of the younger fighter.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Gaethje vs Pimblett can be found on the Gaethje vs Pimblett event page.
