Winner: Jacobe Smith
Confidence Score: 75Jacobe Smith has a dominant wrestling and freestyle base, which is highly effective in the UFC welterweight division, especially against judo-based fighters like Seokhyeon Ko. Smith's stats are exceptional: he has a perfect record (11-0), a very high finish rate (8 KOs, 7 first round finishes), and an extremely high takedown accuracy (90%) with 100% takedown defense. He also lands with high significant strike accuracy (67%), indicating efficient, powerful offense. Smith's average fight time is only 6:04, showing he is a fast starter and finisher. While Ko is a skilled judo practitioner with solid defense and a good record, he has no submission wins and relies more on decisions. Historically, younger, undefeated American wrestlers with Smith's profile have a high win rate against older judo specialists, especially when they have a reach and athleticism edge. Smith's ability to dictate where the fight takes place and his finishing instincts give him a clear edge. Ko's best chance is to drag the fight into deep waters, but Smith's pace and physicality make that unlikely.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jacobe Smith vs Seokhyeon Ko can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Strickland vs Hernandez can be found on the Strickland vs Hernandez event page.
