Winner: Santiago Luna
Confidence Score: 77Santiago Luna is undefeated at 7-0 with a very strong finishing rate (4 submissions, 3 knockouts) and an impressive 100% takedown defense. He also has significant physical advantages, including a 4-inch arm reach and 2.5-inch leg reach edge, plus a 11-year age advantage at just 21 years old. His average fight time (2:48) shows he is a fast starter and finisher, compared to Pacheco's 15:00 average, indicating Luna tends to dominate quickly. Luna's significant strike defense (50%) is superior to Pacheco's (41%), and his overall MMA style is more well-rounded than Pacheco's boxing base. While both are relatively inexperienced at the UFC level, Luna's combination of youth, athletic advantages, finishing ability, and superior defensive stats make him the higher-upside pick. Historically, undefeated young prospects with Luna's statistical profile and physical advantages perform very well against older, one-dimensional opponents like Pacheco in the UFC's bantamweight division.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Santiago Luna vs Angel Pacheco can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Kavanagh can be found on the Moreno vs Kavanagh event page.
