Sofia Montenegro vs Ernesta Kareckaite - AI generated fight pick

Ernesta Kareckaite is the more proven fighter at this level, with a 6-1-1 record and two UFC bouts already under her belt. She has demonstrated strong grappling with a 67% takedown accuracy and 83% takedown defense, both well above divisional averages, which is a significant edge in the women's flyweight division. Her striking is also efficient (42% accuracy) and she has shown the ability to go the distance. Montenegro, making her UFC debut, has only one recorded fight and lacks statistical depth or proven UFC-level experience. Historically, fighters with a similar lack of UFC experience and undefined physical metrics (Montenegro has missing height, reach, style) have struggled against well-rounded, defensively sound opponents like Kareckaite. The matchup strongly favors the established and versatile Lithuanian, especially given her defensive metrics and ability to control the wrestling exchanges, a key factor in women's flyweight bouts.