Winner: Kevin Borjas
Confidence Score: 60Kevin Borjas has a clear edge in experience and finishing ability at the UFC level, with 10 wins (8 by KO) and multiple UFC fights against notable flyweights. While his recent record is mixed, he has shown the ability to go the distance and has a strong takedown defense (71%), which is important in the flyweight division. Imanol Rodriguez, though promising with high striking accuracy (59%) and defense (60%), is untested at the UFC level with only one fight and limited data on his durability, grappling, and ability to handle adversity across three rounds. Historically, flyweights with Borjas' experience, knockout power, and proven durability have a higher win rate over debutants or fighters with minimal UFC exposure. The pick is not higher confidence due to Borjas' recent losses and Rodriguez's potential upside, but the data and historical outcomes favor Borjas in this stylistic and experience matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Kavanagh can be found on the Moreno vs Kavanagh event page.
