Winner: Serghei Spivac
Confidence Score: 70Serghei Spivac has a significant grappling advantage with a 62% takedown accuracy and 8 submission wins, compared to Ante Delija's 0% takedown accuracy and defense, and only 6 submission wins. Spivac's Sambo background and higher takedown defense (64%) mean he can dictate where the fight takes place. Delija is a dangerous striker with 13 KO wins and a fast fight pace (average fight time of 3:01), but his striking defense is low (38%) and he was recently knocked out by Waldo Cortes Acosta. Spivac is younger by five years, has more experience against top UFC heavyweights, and is more durable in longer fights (average fight time 7:54). Historically, heavyweights with superior grappling and submission threats have a high win rate against primarily striking-based opponents, especially when the grappler is younger and has better recent form. However, Delija's power and finishing ability keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Strickland vs Hernandez can be found on the Strickland vs Hernandez event page.
