Winner: Jordan Leavitt
Confidence Score: 68Jordan Leavitt has a significant edge in submission experience and UFC tenure, with 7 submission wins and a UFC debut dating back to 2020, compared to Yadier del Valle's newer UFC experience (debut in 2025). Leavitt's average fight time is slightly shorter (6:17 vs 7:12), suggesting he is more efficient at finishing. While del Valle is undefeated and has excellent striking accuracy (67%), Leavitt's higher submission win rate and history of first-round finishes (6 out of 12 wins) indicate a proven ability to capitalize on grappling exchanges. Del Valle has a higher takedown defense (75% vs Leavitt's 30%), but Leavitt's submission skills and experience against higher-level UFC competition give him the edge in a fight likely to feature significant grappling exchanges. Historically, fighters with Leavitt's profile—strong submission base, UFC experience, and high finish rate—tend to prevail over newer, less-tested opponents, even with strong records.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jordan Leavitt vs Yadier del Valle can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Strickland vs Hernandez can be found on the Strickland vs Hernandez event page.
