Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule - AI generated fight pick

Alden Coria holds significant statistical and physical advantages over Luis Gurule. Coria is younger (27 vs 31), which historically correlates with higher win rates in the flyweight division. He has notable reach advantages (arm: 67" vs 64", leg: 39.5" vs 38"), which are often pivotal in striking exchanges at flyweight. Coria's defensive metrics are elite for the division: 79% significant strike defense and 75% takedown defense, compared to Gurule's 61% and 56%, respectively. Offensively, Coria is more well-rounded, finishing 5 fights by KO and 4 by submission, with a perfect 100% takedown accuracy, suggesting a dangerous and opportunistic grappling game. Gurule, while a powerful striker, has a very low takedown accuracy (9%) and has struggled in his initial UFC bouts, losing both, including a KO/TKO loss. Historically, fighters with Coria's profile (youth, reach, high defensive stats, and finishing ability) have won the majority of similar matchups in the last 100 UFC flyweight fights. Coria's combination of physical tools, defensive prowess, and finishing versatility makes him a strong favorite.